{"id":91385,"date":"2020-10-14T17:29:28","date_gmt":"2020-10-14T17:29:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.flad.pt\/?p=91385"},"modified":"2020-10-14T17:32:01","modified_gmt":"2020-10-14T17:32:01","slug":"flad-expresso-debate-the-pandemic-and-the-economy-create-many-unknowns-in-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.flad.pt\/en\/flad-expresso-debate-the-pandemic-and-the-economy-create-many-unknowns-in-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"FLAD\/Expresso Debate: The pandemic and the economy create many unknowns in polls"},"content":{"rendered":"

In the first debate of the partnership FLAD<\/a> \/SIC<\/a>–Expresso<\/a>, two major American experts in the field of electoral behavior and forecasts, Alan Abramowitz<\/a> and Mary Stegmaier<\/a>, explained what makes these US presidential elections unique and how the rules we used to assess a candidate’s chances may not apply.<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Two candidates, a world away. The US elections are on the doorstep and are generating a lot of interest. This year, even more so because of the profile of the candidates themselves \u2013 Donald Trump and Joe Biden \u2013, but also because we are experiencing a pandemic and, as a consequence, an economic crisis of historical dimensions.<\/p>\n

With so many new features, and after a tremendous failure in 2016, how can we believe what polls tell us every day or how we should look at them. And what impact do issues such as the pandemic, the economic crisis, and even episodes during the campaign, which is nearing its end, have?<\/strong><\/p>\n

With the help of Pedro Magalh\u00e3es, also a Political Scientist, and Journalist David Dinis (who moderated this conversation), the two scientists gave important clues to understand how this year has become so special. And that may still influence the vote.<\/p>\n